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Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at Geek Culture HVN Regionals

decks
8 (10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
45 22-17-6
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.1% avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
55.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1362 · median 1361 · range 1226–1509 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033 Q1 1270 Q3 1411 1702
38% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 12% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 15.0% 8 6-2-0 75.0% 66.7% 62.0% +5.8
Wind Allies 12.5% 4 3-0-1 87.5% 68.8% 69.4% +12.4
Water Fractal 11.2% 8 2-4-2 37.5% 41.7% 45.2% -2.3
Water Genbu 8.8% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 65.2% +14.6
Wind Shadowstrike 8.8% 8 2-5-1 31.2% 37.5% 37.7% -5.9
Wind Seiryuu 6.2% 5 2-2-1 50.0% 50.0% 45.2% -2.8
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.0% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 46.9% -2.0
Fire Suzaku 5.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.7% +18.6
Wind Luxem Zander 3.8% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.1% -1.8
Water Penguin Mill 2.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 51.2% +1.2
Fire Arcane 1.2% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.2% 0
Fire Crux Mage 1.2% 0
Fire Exia 1.2% 0
Fire Rai 1.2% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.2% 0
Water Astra Cleric 1.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.8% +9.4
Water Overlord 1.2% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 1.2% 0
Wind Tera Silvie 1.2% 0
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Ravaging Tempest +1.00 2 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 2 0
Regenerate +1.00 2 0 0
Horticounter +1.00 2 0 0
Resolute Stand -0.50 0 1 0
Spirit of Wind +0.50 1 0 0
Spellshield: Astra -0.50 0 1 1
Backup Charger +0.50 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -0.50 0 1 0
Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar +0.50 1 0 0
Scry the Stars +0.50 1 0 0
Harvest Herbs -0.50 0 1 0
Scry the Skies +0.50 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny +0.50 1 0 0
Fertile Grounds +0.50 1 0 1
Spirit of Serene Wind -0.50 0 1 1
Zephyr -0.50 0 1 1
Nascent Barrier -0.50 0 1 1
Indolent Leisure +0.50 1 0 1
Lunar Seer -0.50 0 1 0
Gentle Respite +0.50 1 0 0
Chalice of Blood -0.50 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail -0.50 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm +0.00 1 1 0
Astral Seal +0.00 1 1 0
Dawn's Reversal +0.00 1 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.00 1 1 0
Meteor Strike +0.00 1 1 0
Prima Materia +0.00 1 1 0
Potion of Healing +0.00 1 1 0
Scatter Essence +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/25113/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric